2026年10月22日木曜日

OXFORD solutions

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1.   The surveyor's triangular garden problem based on geometric and trigonometric analysis.

a) Diagram Sketch

To visualize the information, imagine a coordinate plane where point \(A\) is the starting origin:

Line \(AB\) goes \(80\text{ m}\) straight up (due North, \(000^{\circ }\)).

Line \(BC\) goes \(70\text{ m}\) down and to the right at an angle of \(125^{\circ }\) clockwise from North. Since the line straight down from \(B\) represents South (\(180^{\circ }\)), the internal angle \(\angle ABC\) is \(180^\circ - 125^\circ = 55^\circ\).

Line \(CA\) connects point \(C\) back to the origin \(A\).


b) Length of Side AC

To find the length of side \(AC\), we use the Law of Cosines on \(\triangle ABC\) with the interior angle \(\angle B = 55^\circ\):

\(AC^{2}=AB^{2}+BC^{2}-2(AB)(BC)\cos (B)\)

\(AC^{2}=80^{2}+70^{2}-2(80)(70)\cos (55^{\circ })\)

\(AC^{2}=6400+4900-11200(0.5736)\)

\(AC^{2}=11300-6424.06=4875.94\)

\(AC=\sqrt{4875.94}\approx \mathbf{69.83}\ \text{m}\)


c) Area of the Triangular Garden

Using the sine area formula $Area= \frac{1}{2}ab\sin C$ for the two known sides and their included angle:

\(\text{Area}=\frac{1}{2}\times AB\times BC\times \sin (55^{\circ })\)

\(\text{Area}=0.5\times 80\times 70\times 0.8192\)

\(\text{Area}=2800\times 0.8192\approx \mathbf{2293.63} \ \text{m}^{\mathbf{2}}\)


d) Bearing from C to A

First, find the interior angle at \(A\) (\(\angle BAC\)) using the Law of Sines:

\(\frac{\sin (A)}{BC}=\frac{\sin (B)}{AC}\)

\(\sin (A)=\frac{70\times \sin (55^{\circ })}{69.83}\approx 0.8212\)

\(A=\arcsin (0.8212)\approx 55.2^{\circ }\)

Since the line \(AB\) points due North (\(000^{\circ }\)), the bearing from A to C is simply the interior angle: \(55.2^{\circ }\).

Because the surveyor walks in the exact opposite direction (from C to A), we add \(180^{\circ }\) to find the back-bearing:

\(\text{Bearing from C to A}=55.2^{\circ }+180^{\circ }=\mathbf{235.2}^{\mathbf{\circ }}\)


2.   Let the continuous random variable \(T\) be the time taken by a competitor to complete the 10,000 m race. We are given that \(T\) is normally distributed with a mean \(\mu = 50\) minutes and standard deviation \(\sigma = 5\) minutes: \(T\sim N(50,5^{2})\)

a) Diagram representation

The graph of this normal distribution is a symmetrical bell-shaped curve centered at the mean \(\mu = 50\). The standard deviation \(\sigma = 5\) determines the spread, with inflection points located one standard deviation away from the mean at \(45\) and \(55\).


b) Probability between 45 and 55 minutes

We want to find \(P(45 \le T \le 55)\). Converting to the standard normal variable \(Z = \frac{T - \mu}{\sigma}\):

\(Z_{1}=\frac{45-50}{5}=-1\)

\(Z_{2}=\frac{55-50}{5}=1\)

Using the empirical rule (68-95-99.7 rule) or a standard normal table: 

\(P(-1\le Z\le 1)\approx \mathbf{0.6827}\text{ (or 68.3%)}\)



c) Probability less than 40 minutes

We want to find \(P(T < 40)\). Standardizing the value:

\(Z=\frac{40-50}{5}=-2\)

Using standard normal distribution tables: 

\(P(Z<-2)=1-P(Z\le 2)=1-0.9772=\mathbf{0.0228}\text{(or 2.28%)}\)



d) Time limit for a medal

"Fastest 75%" refers to the competitors who achieved the shortest 75% of race completion times. Therefore, we need to find the 75th percentile time \(k\) such that \(P(T \le k) = 0.75\).

Using a standard normal inverse lookup table, the \(Z\)-score for a cumulative area of \(0.75\) is approximately \(Z \approx 0.674\).

\(k=\mu +Z\cdot \sigma =50+0.674\times 5=\mathbf{53.37}\ \text{minutes}\)

A competitor must finish under 53.37 minutes (or roughly 53 minutes and 22 seconds) to receive a medal.


e) Conditional probability

We are asked to find the probability that a competitor finished under 40 minutes given that they won a medal:

\(P(T<40\mid T\le 53.37)\)

Using the conditional probability formula:

\(P(T<40\mid T\le 53.37)=\frac{P(T<40\cap T\le 53.37)}{P(T\le 53.37)}\)

Since any time under 40 minutes is automatically under 53.37 minutes, the intersection is simply \(P(T < 40)\): 

\(=\frac{P(T<40)}{0.75}=\frac{0.02275}{0.75}\approx \mathbf{0.0303}\ \text{(or 3.03%)}\)


f) Competitors finishing in less than 33 minutes

First, calculate the probability of finishing a race in under 33 minutes by standardizing:

\(Z=\frac{33-50}{5}=-3.4\)

From a standard normal table: 

\(P(Z<-3.4)\approx 0.000337\)

Multiplying by the total number of competitors (\(10,000\)):

\(\text{Expected number}=10000\times 0.000337=3.37\)

Rounding to the nearest whole integer (as "nearest minute" in the prompt's context implies a typo for headcount rounding unit):

\(\approx \mathbf{3}\ \text{competitors}\)


3.   The problems based on the depth equation \(d = 11 + 5\sin(30t^\circ)\), where \(t\) is the number of hours after midnight (\(0 \le t \le 24\)).

a) Depth of water at midnight

At midnight, the time elapsed since midnight is \(t = 0\).

\(d=11+5\sin (30\times 0)=11+5(0)=\mathbf{11}\text{ m}\)


b) Period of this function

The period of a sine function in degrees, given as \(\sin(Bt)\), is calculated using \(\frac{360^{\circ }}{B}\). Here, \(B = 30^\circ\).

\(\text{Period}=\frac{360^{\circ }}{30^{\circ }}=\mathbf{12}\text{ hours}\)


c) Maximum and Minimum depths and their times

i) Maximum depth:

The maximum value of the sine function is \(1\).

Maximum depth = \(11 + 5(1) = \mathbf{16\text{ m}}\)

This occurs when \(\sin(30t^\circ) = 1 \implies 30t = 90^\circ, 450^\circ\)

\(t = \mathbf{3\text{ hours}}\) (03:00) and \(t = \mathbf{15\text{ hours}}\) (15:00)


ii) Minimum depth:

The minimum value of the sine function is \(-1\).

Minimum depth = \(11 + 5(-1) = \mathbf{6\text{ m}}\)

This occurs when \(\sin(30t^\circ) = -1 \implies 30t = 270^\circ, 630^\circ\)

\(t = \mathbf{9\text{ hours}}\) (09:00) and \(t = \mathbf{21\text{ hours}}\) (21:00)


d) Sketch of the graph (\(0 \le t \le 24\))

The graph completes two full cycles within the 24-hour day, centered along the midline \(d = 11\text{ m}\).


e) Morning time interval for the boat to enter (\(d > 14\text{ m}\))

To find when the boat can enter, set \(d > 14\):

\(11+5\sin (30t^{\circ })>14\)

\(5\sin (30t^{\circ })>3\)

\(\sin (30t^{\circ })>0.6\)

Find the boundary times by solving \(\sin(30t^\circ) = 0.6\):

First boundary point (entry time):

\(30t=\sin ^{-1}(0.6)\approx 36.87^{\circ }\)

\(t_{1}=\frac{36.87}{30}\approx 1.229\text{ hours}\)

Converting \(0.229\text{ hours}\) to minutes: \(0.229 \times 60 \approx 14\text{ minutes}\).

Time: 01:14

Second boundary point (exit time):

Using the symmetric property of sine waves in the second quadrant:

\(30t=180^{\circ }-36.87^{\circ }=143.13^{\circ }\)

\(t_{2}=\frac{143.13}{30}\approx 4.771\text{ hours}\)

Converting \(0.771\text{ hours}\) to minutes: \(0.771 \times 60 \approx 46\text{ minutes}\).

Time: 04:46

Conclusion:

The morning time interval during which the boat can safely enter the harbour is between 01:14 and 04:46 (or for a duration of 3 hours and 32 minutes).


4.   

a) Mich takes \(n = 9\) free throws with a constant success probability of \(p = \frac{2}{3}\). 

i) Distribution and parameters:

\(X\) satisfies a Binomial distribution, written as \(X \sim B\left(9, \frac{2}{3}\right)\).

Number of trials \(n\) = \(9\)

Probability of success \(p\) = \(\frac{2}{3}\)


ii) Mean of the distribution:

\(\text{Mean\ }(\mu )=n\times p=9\times \frac{2}{3}=\mathbf{6}\)


iii) Probability that Mich scores exactly seven times (\(X = 7\)):

\(P(X=7)={9 \choose 7}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{7}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{2}=36\times \frac{128}{2187}=\frac{512}{2187}\approx \mathbf{0.2341}\)


iv) Probability that he scores four or more times (\(X \ge 4\)):

\(P(X\ge 4)=1-P(X\le 3)=1-\sum _{k=0}^{3}{9 \choose k}\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{k}\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^{9-k}\approx \mathbf{0.9576}\)


b)   Let \(n\) be the number of free throws Ken takes. We want the probability of scoring at least once to be at least \(99\%\) (\(0.99\)).The probability of scoring at least once is the complement of missing all \(n\) free throws:

\(\text{P(scoring at least once)}=1-\text{P(missing all shots)}=1-\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{n}\)We need to solve for \(n\) where:

\(1-\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{n}\ge 0.99\)

\(\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^{n}\le 0.01\)

3. Solve for \(n\) using logarithms or trial and error:

Taking the natural logarithm (\(\ln \)) on both sides:

\(n\cdot \ln \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)\le \ln (0.01)\)Since \(\ln\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)\) is a negative value (\(\approx -0.4055\)), the inequality sign flips when dividing:

\(n\ge \frac{\ln (0.01)}{\ln (2/3)}\)

\(n\ge \frac{-4.6052}{-0.4055}\)

\(n\ge 11.36\)

Thus, Ken must take at least 12 free throws.


5.   Based on the data provided, the full reconstructed data set for the eleven students is as follows:

Student A B C D E F G H I J K

Hours (\(h\)) 10 9.5 9 8.5 8 7.5 7 6.5 6 5 0

Score (\(s\)) 100 91 93 90 80 85 79 70 69 60 65

a) Identify any outliers in the values of \(h\). 

Justification: To mathematically determine outliers, we calculate the boundaries using the Interquartile Range (\(\text{IQR}\)):

First, sort the \(h\) values: \(0, 5, 6, 6.5, 7, 7.5, 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5, 10\)

Median \(=7.5\)

Lower Quartile (\(Q_{1}\)) = Median of lower half \(=6\)

Upper Quartile (\(Q_{3}\)) = Median of upper half \(=9\)

\(\text{IQR} = Q_3 - Q_1 = 9 - 6 = 3\)

Lower Boundary \(= Q_1 - 1.5(\text{IQR}) = 6 - 1.5(3) = \mathbf{1.5}\)

Upper Boundary \(= Q_3 + 1.5(\text{IQR}) = 9 + 1.5(3) = \mathbf{13.5}\)

Since Student K's revision time (\(h = 0\)) is less than the lower boundary of \(1.5\), it is a confirmed outlier.


b) Calculate the Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient, \(r\).

The Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient is \(r \approx 0.816\) (or \(0.8163\) to 4 decimal places), indicating a strong positive linear relationship between the hours spent revising and the test scores.


c) Write down the equation of the line of best fit of \(s\) on \(h\).

The least-squares regression line of \(s\) on \(h\) is:

\(\mathbf{s=3.79h+53.6}\)

(values given to 3 significant figures)


d) Estimate the score of a twelfth student who spent 5.5 hours revising.

Using the regression line equation:

\(s=3.7922(5.5)+53.6364=74.4935\)

Rounding to the nearest integer, the estimated score is 74.


e) Complete the table of rankings.

Rank Type         A B C D E F G H I J K

Hour Rank         1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Score Rank 1 3 2 4 6 5 7 8 9 11 10


f) Calculate the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, \(r_{s}\).

Using the rankings above, the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient is \(r_s \approx 0.973\) (or \(0.9727\) to 4 decimal places), showing a very strong positive monotonic relationship.

Excel

g) Explain why \(r_s > r\).

The Spearman's coefficient (\(r_{s}\)) is notably higher than the Pearson's coefficient (\(r\)) because Pearson's \(r\) is highly sensitive to outliers, such as Student K (\(h=0, s=65\)), which severely deviates from a straight linear path and artificially pulls down the linear correlation score.

Conversely, Spearman's \(r_{s}\) operates purely on relative ranks rather than raw numeric values. Because Student K ranks near the bottom for both metrics (11th in hours, 10th in score), they perfectly fit the overall monotonic trend (more hours \(\approx \) higher score), leaving \(r_{s}\) unaffected by the numeric extreme of the outlier.


6.   Answers to the Rollercoaster Modelling Problem

Here are the step-by-step solutions to each part of the problem based on the rollercoaster height equation:

\(h(x)=\frac{x^{3}}{3}-\frac{5x^{2}}{2}+4x+5\quad \text{for }0<x<7\)

a) Find \(h'(x)\)

To find the derivative, apply the power rule (\(\frac{d}{dx}x^n = n x^{n-1}\)) to each term:

\(h^{\prime }(x)=3\cdot \frac{x^{2}}{3}-2\cdot \frac{5x}{2}+4\)

\({h}^{\prime }{(x)=x}^{{2}}{-5x+4}\)


b) Solve \(h'(x) = 0\)

Set the derivative equal to zero and factor the quadratic equation:

\(x^{2}-5x+4=0\)

\((x-1)(x-4)=0\)

\({x=1}\quad \text{or}\quad {x=4}\)


c) Find the stationary points and determine their nature

Substitute the \(x\)-values back into the original function \(h(x)\) to find the \(y\)-coordinates:

For \(x = 1\):

\(h(1)=\frac{1}{3}-\frac{5}{2}+4+5=\frac{41}{6}\approx 6.83\)

For \(x = 4\):

\(h(4)=\frac{64}{3}-\frac{80}{2}+16+5=\frac{7}{3}\approx 2.33\)

To find their nature, use the second derivative: \(h''(x) = 2x - 5\).

\(h''(1) = 2(1) - 5 = -3 < 0 \rightarrow\) Local Maximum

\(h''(4) = 2(4) - 5 = 3 > 0 \rightarrow\) Local Minimum

Stationary Points:

\((1, 6.83)\) is a Local Maximum

\((4, 2.33)\) is a Local Minimum


d) Sketch the graph of \(h(x)\) against \(x\)


e) Find the values of \(x\) for which Alison suffers from acrophobia (\(h(x) > 10\))

Set the height equation equal to \(10\):

\(\frac{x^{3}}{3}-\frac{5x^{2}}{2}+4x+5=10\)

\(\frac{x^{3}}{3}-\frac{5x^{2}}{2}+4x-5=0\)

Using numerical methods or a GDC to solve for \(0 < x < 7\) yields:

\(x\approx 5.90\text{ m}\)

Since the coaster is moving upwards after its local minimum at \(x = 4\), Alison will experience acrophobia when:

\(\mathbf{5.90<x<7}\)



f) Find the values of \(x\) for which Alison screams (\(h'(x) < -1\))

Set the gradient function to be less than \(-1\):

\(x^{2}-5x+4<-1\)

\(x^{2}-5x+5<0\)

Using the quadratic formula to find the boundary roots $x = \frac{5 \pm \sqrt{(-5)^2 - 4(1)(5)}}{2}$:

\(x_1 = \frac{5 - \sqrt{5}}{2} \approx 1.38\text{ m}\)

\(x_2 = \frac{5 + \sqrt{5}}{2} \approx 3.62\text{ m}\)

Since the quadratic opens upwards, the gradient is less than \(-1\) between these two values:

\(\mathbf{1.38<x<3.62}\)

2026年10月14日水曜日

京都府立大2017数学入試問題 $\cos\frac{2n}{17}\pi$

[問題] 

$n$を0以上の整数とする.  $x_n=2\cos\frac{2n}{17}\pi$のとき以下の問いに答えよ.

(1)  $s=x_1+x_2+x_3+x_4+x_5+x_6+x_7+x_8$ とするとき, $x_1 ⁢(s +1) =2⁢s +2$ となることを示せ.

(2)  $t=x_1+x_2+x_4+x_8$ とするとき, $t^2+ t-4= 0$ となることを示せ.

(3)  $x_1 +x_4$ の値を求めよ.


[解答]

(1) $\frac{2}{17}\pi=\theta$とおくと,$$s=2(\cos\theta+\cos2\theta+\dots+\cos8\theta)$$方程式 $z^{17}=1$ の解を $1,z_1,z_2,\dots ,z_{16}$ とおくと,$z_k=\cos k\theta+i\sin k\theta$ であり,下図の各点を表すので,

$$1+z_1+z_2+\dots +z_{16}=0$$実部をとると,
$$1+\cos\theta+\cos2\theta+\dots+\cos16\theta=0$$
$\cos (17-k)\theta=\cos k\theta$なので,
$$1+2(\cos \theta+\cos 2\theta +\dots +\cos 8\theta) =0$$
$$\therefore 1+s=0$$
よって,左辺の$x_1$と右辺の$2$が他の何であろうと等式 $x_1 ⁢(s +1) =2⁢s +2$ は$=0$となって成り立つが,問題としては不適切ではないか.「$s$の値を求めよ」で良いと思われる.

 

(2) 途中,$x_k^2=4\cos^2{k\theta}=2\cos{2k\theta}+2=x_{2k}+2$ を利用する.

まず $t^2$ を計算すると,
$t^2=(x_1+x_2+x_4+x_8)^2$
$=x_1^2+x_2^2+x_4^2+x_8^2+2(x_1x_2+x_1x_4+x_1x_8+x_2x_4+x_2x_8+x_4x_8)$
$=x_2+2+x_4+2+x_8+2+x_{16}+2+2(x_3+x_1+x_5+x_3+x_9+x_7+x_6+x_2+x_{10}+x_6+x_{12}+x_4)$
$=x_2+2+x_4+2+x_8+2+x_1+2+2(x_3+x_1+x_5+x_3+x_8+x_7+x_6+x_2+x_7+x_6+x_5+x_4)$
$=(x_1+x_2+x_4+x_8)+8+2(x_1+x_2+x_4+x_8)+4(x_3+x_5+x_6+x_7)$
$=t+8+2t+4(s-t)$
$=4s-t+8$

よって,$t^2+ t-4=4s-t+8+t-4=4s+4=4(s+1)=0$


(3) 上図より$t>0$ なので,$t$ は $t^2+ t-4= 0$ の解の正の方であるから,$$t=\dfrac{-1+ \sqrt{17}}{2}$$

$t$を $\alpha=x_1+x_4$,$\beta=x_2+x_8$ の2つに分け,その和と積から2次方程式を解いて$\alpha$の値を求める.

$\alpha+\beta=t$

$\alpha \beta=(x_1+x_4 )(x_2+x_8)$
$=x_1x_2+x_1x_8+x_4x_2+x_4 x_8$
$=x_3+x_1+x_9+x_7+x_6+x_2+x_{12}+x_4$
$=x_3+x_1+x_8+x_7+x_6+x_2+x_5+x_4$
$=s=-1$

解と係数の関係より,$\alpha, \beta$は2次方程式 $x^2-tx-1=0$ の解になるので,この方程式を解くと,
$$x=\dfrac{t\pm \sqrt{t^2+4}}{2}$$
上図より$\alpha>\beta$なので,
$$\alpha=x_1+x_4 =\dfrac{t+ \sqrt{t^2+4}}{2}=\dfrac{-1+\sqrt{17}+\sqrt{34-2\sqrt{17}}}{4}$$

2026年9月1日火曜日

t検定 (t-test)

t検定は,2つのグループの平均値に「統計的に意味のある差(有意差)」があるかどうかを判定するための統計手法.得られたデータに平均値の差があっても,それが「たまたま (偶然) 」 生じたものかを見極める.

具体的には,2郡の分散が大きく異ならない場合,平均・分散→統合 (プールした) 分散→t値→p値を求め,例えば有意水準5%の場合,p値 (有意確率) が基準の0.05より大きければ,「意味のある差がない」 と判断する.

Example Question (Oxford AI SL P408 Example7)

Mr Arthur gives his two chemistry groups the same test. He wants to find out whether there is any difference between the achievement levels of the two groups.

The results are:

a)   Write down the null and alternative hypotheses, 

   a) の解答は下の"Oxford TextのSolution"の通り

b)   Find the t-value and p-value for a t-test at the 5% significance level, 

c)   Write down the conclusion to the lest.






GDCで求めた値は以下の通り.
t分布からP(T24>0.235)
p=2P(T24>0.235)

Excelの 「データ分析」 の結果は以下の通り.

Excelでt値をいきなり求めるには 「データ分析」 を用いる方法しかない.

Excelでp値をいきなり求めるには,T.TEST(配列1,配列2,2,2)とすればp=0.816229568が得られる.

Oxford Textbook の Solution

a)   $H_0$ : $\overline{x_1}= \overline{x_2}$ (there is no differencebetween the grades in Group 1 and the grades in Group 2)

      $H_1$ : $\overline{x_1} \neq \overline{x_2}$ (there is a difference between the grades in Group 1 and the grades in Group 2)

b)   t-value =-0.235,   p-value = 0.816

c)   0.816 > 0.05, so you accept the null hypothesis: there is no significant difference between the two groups.

Notice that the two groups do not need to be the same size. This will be a two-tailed test as you want to know whether Group 1 is better or worse than Group 2.


****


 (Oxford AI HL P603 Q12) 

Lisa measures the arm spans (the length from finger tips on one hand to finger tips on the other hand, when arms are held horizontally outstretched) of students in two mathematics classes. She is interested to see whether the mean arm span of class A is the same as the mean arm span of class B. Lisa's data is shown in the table below.


In this question, you will use a t-test to compare the means of the two groups at the 10% level of significance. You may assume the data is normally distributed and the standard deviations are equal between the two groups, (等分散を仮定してよいと指示している)

a)  (i)   State the null hypothesis.
     (ii)  State the alternative hypothesis,

   a) の解答は下の"Oxford TextのSolution"の通り

b)  Find the associated p-value for this test,
c)  State, giving a reason, whether Lisa should accept the null hypothesis.




GDCで求めた値は以下の通り.
t分布からP(T20>1.273)
p=2P(T20>1.273)

Excelの 「データ分析」 の結果は以下の通り.

Excelでp値をいきなり求めるには,T.TEST(配列A,配列B,2,2)とすればp=0.217565256が得られる.

Oxford Textbook の Solution
a)   (i)   $H_0$ : $\overline{x_A}= \overline{x_B}$     
      (ii)   $H_0$ : $\overline{x_A} \neq \overline{x_B}$
b)   p = 0.209 (3 sf)  (不等分散を仮定した解答になっている)
c)   As 0.209 > 0.1 there is no evidence to reject the null hypothesis at the 10% level of significance.